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sábado, 29 de julio de 2017

The Left continues to deny the importance of matrimony to escaping poverty.


Marriage Matters


by W. Bradford Wilcox


For today’s progressives, marriage doesn’t matter when it comes to fighting poverty in America. Melissa Boteach and Anusha Ravi of the Center for American Progress, for instance, dismissed a recent op-ed by George Will reporting that millennials who put “marriage before the baby carriage” are much less likely to be poor.

In a column entitled “No, Young People Aren’t Poor Because They’re Not Married,” Boteach and Ravi argue that “[two] poor people getting married does not make anyone less poor,” noting that a majority of low-income families are in “families headed by married or unmarried partners.” Their underlying assumption is that, because marriage is not a poverty panacea for all low-income families (true), it must necessarily play no role in reducing poverty (false). Like other leftist commentators on marriage and poverty, Boteach and Ravi blame poverty among today’s young adults on forces entirely outside of their control: a tough job market and bad public policy.

The problem with the progressive approach to poverty is that it denies the importance of culture and character to household prosperity—especially when it comes to marriage. This isn’t to say that a tough job market and bad public policy are irrelevant to explaining why some millennials are in poverty, but life choices substantially affect the odds of ending up poor.

Wendy Wang of the Institute for Family Studies and I recently co-authored a report, The Millennial Success Sequence, which demonstrates and quantifies the extent to which early life choices correlate with personal affluence. Though young people take a variety of paths into adulthood—arranging school, work, and family in a dizzying array of combinations—one path stood out as most likely to be linked to financial success for young adults. Brookings scholars Ron Haskins and Isabel Sawhill have identified the “success sequence,” through which young adults who follow three steps—getting at least a high school degree, then working full-time, and then marrying before having any children, in that order—are very unlikely to become poor. In fact, 97 percent of millennials who have followed the success sequence are not in poverty by the time they reach the ages of 28 to 34.

Sequence-following millennials are also markedly more likely to flourish financially than their peers taking different paths; 89 percent of 28-to-34 year olds who have followed the sequence stand at the middle or upper end of the income distribution, compared with just 59 percent of Millennials who missed one or two steps in the sequence. The formula even works for young adults who have faced heavier odds, such as millennials who grew up poor, or black millennials; despite questions regarding socioeconomic privilege, our research suggests that the success sequence is associated with better outcomes for everyone. For instance, only 9 percent of black millennials who have followed the three steps of the sequence, or who are on track with the sequence (which means they have at least a high school degree and worked full-time in their twenties, but have not yet married or had children) are poor, compared with a 37 percent rate of poverty for blacks who have skipped one or two steps. Likewise, only 9 percent of young men and women from lower-income families who follow the sequence are poor in their late twenties and early thirties; by comparison, 31 percent of their peers from low-income families who missed one or two steps are now poor.

Even more significantly, it appears that marriage in itself reduces millennials’ chances of being poor. Why? Young men and (especially) women who put “marriage before the baby carriage” get access to the financial benefits of a partnership—income pooling, economies of scale, support from kinship networks—with fewer of the risks of an unmarried partnership, including breakups. By contrast, millennials who have a baby outside of marriage—even in a cohabiting union—are likelier to end up as single parents or paying child support, both of which increase the odds of poverty. 

The antidote to hyper-partisanship is a recovery of America’s tradition of civil religion.


 

Recovering America’s Vital Center: Between Religious Nationalism and Radical Secularism

by John D. Wilsey
The antidote to hyper-partisanship is a recovery of America’s tradition of civil religion. A new book by Philip Gorski takes up this difficult and subtle project.

Sexually Violent Predator Laws and Indefinite Confinement: Insights from C.S. Lewis
by Justin Dyer
Sexually violent predator laws permit the indefinite confinement of persons who have already served a sentence for their crime. They are a perfect example of what C.S. Lewis called the humanitarian theory of punishment, replacing punishment and desert with treatment and therapy.

Understanding the Election: The How and the Why of 2016
by Matthew J. Franck
Political scientists James W. Ceaser, Andrew E. Busch, and John J. Pitney, Jr., take a hard look at the 2016 election, adding another book to their series of insightful election analyses.

Transgender Suicides: What to Do About Them

by Chad Felix Greene
I have personally experienced gender dysphoria, and I explored transition in my early twenties. I am aware of the emotional struggle, but I am also aware of the empowering realization that I alone control how I perceive the world.


Do Involved Parents Subvert the American Dream?


by Rachel Lu
The happiest, freest, and most prosperous future available to Americans might not be the most egalitarian.

Russia and China are drawing closer together with the goal of challenging Washington’s global dominance.






Weekend Reads

July 29, 2017


What North Korea's Most Recent Missile Launch Means for America 
by Jacob Heilbrunn and Harry J. Kazianis

Video Interview: This test may show that Pyongyang’s re-entry vehicles are more capable than ever. 

Read it here.

Dunkirk: Everything You Need to Know Before You See the Movie 
by Sebastien Roblin

Before Dunkirk, British and French troops fought desperate last stands in the channel ports of Calais and Boulogne that bought vital time for the evacuation in the Belgian Port. 


Read it here.

Russia and China are Sending Their Navies to the Baltic Sea: Is a Formal Alliance Next? 

by Dave Majumdar

Russia and China are drawing closer together with the goal of challenging Washington’s global dominance. 


Read it here.

Why America's Air Force Needs a New Bomber 
by James Price

Today our most modern bomber, the B-2, is 25 years old with no announced retirement date. 

Read it here.

Will the Kurds Get Their Independence Referendum? 
by Seth J. Frantzman

The Kurdish region faces a multiplicity of hurdles as it prepares for the "yes to independence" referendum. 


Read it here.

The dismantling of Western civilization by culture-war zealots has destroyed the resolve of Western man to defend himself. Western civilization has been gutted from within.




Essays of the Week


by Pedro Gonzalez
Why the increased barbarity today? The dismantling of Western civilization by culture-war zealots has destroyed the resolve of Western man to defend himself. Western civilization has been gutted from within. At the core of this moral bankruptcy is a watered-down Christianity that lacks the conviction to defend itself, given its post-modern moral-spiritual duplicity. No doubt, radical Islam is abetted by post-modern deconstruction of Western culture and values. Radical Islam and communism—then and now—are ideologies that present the enemies of the West with alleged, viable alternatives to Western values... 
[MORE]

by Russell Hittinger
It was Christopher Dawson’s conviction that what had been overlooked is the fact that, in the West, the Christian religion had created a distinctive culture that not only preceded but has continued long after, the harvest of the thirteenth century. It is only by examining the cultural dynamism that one can appreciate why modern society is a mutilated, or what Dawson termed a “secularized,” version of Christendom. The recovery of a sense of Christendom is not some esoteric religious issue. The struggles of international order today are not essentially between Oriental and Occidental, or between First and Third Worlds, but between forces internal to Christendom itself... 
[MORE]

by George W. Rutler
In our reduced culture when wealthy celebrities go about unshaven, neckties are considered an imposition, form letters from the bank address customers by their first names, and no thought is given to how to dress for church, attention to the gravity of one’s office may seem archaic and indeed affected. But the opposite is the case. The amiably eccentric Queen Christina of Sweden, having abdicated her throne to become a Catholic, wrote to a friend: “Dignity does not consist in possessing honors, but in deserving them.” Customs and outward forms signal that one’s duty is greater than one’s self, and neglect of them is an exercise in egotism... 
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by Glenn Arbery
In our day the real necessity is not technical innovation but a return to the spiritual center. Cardinal Robert Sarah points the way: "Great things begin in the desert, in silence, in poverty, in abandonment. The desert is where God leads us in order to speak to us in a heart-to him-heart conversation." A new Catholic culture begins in this silence—at first, perhaps, with hope alone. What we do at Wyoming Catholic College begins in the silence of the wilderness and grows in the atmosphere of hope. The more silence can become a way of life in this noisy age, the more a new culture will radiate from its blessings… 
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by Glenn Davis
Our leadership class has been failing to relate to a new, pragmatic and self-interested Russian regime largely because our imagination is tied to the old ideologies of the Cold War. So how should imaginative conservatives address the issue of Russia? We should first recognize the significant changes in Russia that have occurred since the fall of communism in the early 1990s. We need to recapture a historical understanding of Russia. There is no escape from historical existence. With all its contingencies, unexpected happenings, and mysteries, historical existence offers opportunities for grasping the great drama of life... 
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by James V. Schall
Truth is not like private property, something we own and cherish. Rather it is something when, on someone else’s coming to know it, both are more, no one less. A teacher gives an account of truth, his account, but not his truth. “The origin we begin from,” Aristotle said, “is the belief that something is true.” If we are brought up with fine habits, we can be “adequate students of what is fine and just.” Someone else, however, brings us up. We are beholden not only for our very being, but also for our gentle habits, if we have them. We are beholden to those who guided us so that we can easily see and, if we choose, arrive at the first principles on which all truth stands.... 
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by Rebekah Lamb
The soft totalitarian roots of Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government are becoming increasingly transparent through its seeking to try and repair the suffering and broken human condition on its own terms, dismissing, along the way, the central truth that reinforces, but also builds up, society: The life of every person must be safeguarded and protected. Mr. Trudeau’s view of Bill C-14 comes from a misguided, though nevertheless sincere, concept of compassion, even of tenderness, for those who are suffering greatly. But if we come to see some lives as being more worth living than others (for whatever reason) then we are already well on our way to instantiating an eugenicist mentality in our culture... 
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by Bradley J. Birzer
The story is the oldest story in the Christian world. It’s the story about love, sacrifice, and redemption. The Beast is a beast because of his poor choices. When he encounters real love and sacrifice, he understands his own folly and, most importantly, learns to sacrifice himself for others. He is, symbolically and literally, reborn. The Redeemer removes his skin and baptizes him in the blood of the Lamb. The enchantress might be a bit pagan, but she’s equally a bit archangel and the Virgin Mary. Belle, beautiful and bookish, is the personification of Grace itself... 
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The Imaginative Conservative applies the principle of appreciation to the discussion of culture and politics—we approach dialogue with magnanimity rather than with mere civility.